More than 18 hours prior, however, Republicans were already predicting that Tanden would never make it through the confirmation process.
Which brings me to the Senate math — and why a unified GOP could well mean that Tanden never gets to run OMB.
At the moment, Republicans control 52 seats to Democrats’ 48. Control of the Senate won’t be decided until January 5, when GOP Sens. David Perdue and Kelly Loeffler find themselves in runoff races against Democrats Jon Ossoff and Raphael Warnock, respectively.
If Democrats manage to win both of those races — and they haven’t won a Senate race in Georgia since 2000 — the Senate would be split 50-50, giving Vice President-elect Kamala Harris the deciding vote and her party effective control of the chamber. And Tanden, under that scenario, would likely be confirmed to the OMB gig.
The two most obvious targets for any Democrat nominee looking to pick up GOP voters are Collins and her colleague — and close confidante — Lisa Murkowski of Alaska. Whoops!
While Collins could well decide to ignore Tanden’s past criticism of her when making a decision about confirmation, well, that is not going to happen. Because, after all, this is politics. Could Murkowski be the lone GOP vote Tanden needs? Sure! But the badmouthing of Collins certainly doesn’t help matters for Tanden when it comes to Murkowski.
Now, when we are talking about such small margins — needing a single GOP vote, potentially — there are always scenarios where Tanden could lose Collins and Murkowski and still get confirmed by some other Republican senator’s vote.
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